Just a day after a dates for a five-phased Bihar Assembly polls 2015 were announced by a Election Commission (EC), opinion polls have begun presaging a formula of a rarely charged state polls.
The India Today Group (ITG)-Cicero pre-poll consult has expected that a BJP-led fondness in a Bihar will win elementary infancy in a polls. According to a survey, a BJP-led fondness will win 125 seats in a Bihar Assembly elections thus channel a 122 symbol that is compulsory to win a elementary infancy in a 243-member state Assembly.
The JD(U)-RJD-Congress grand alliance, according to a survey, will win 106 seats. Other parties will win a sum of 12 seats, a consult added.
The ITG-Cicero consult also pronounced that a BJP-led alliance, including LJP, RLSP and HAM, will win 42 percent of a sum votes while JD(U) will win 40 percent.
The consult predicted that even yet a most-favoured choice for a post of Bihar Chief Minister was Nitish Kumar, a people of a state wanted a BJP-led fondness government.
Meanwhile, an opinion check taken by India TV channel pronounced that a mahagathbandhan or a grand alliance of JD(U)-RJD-Congress is projected to win between 116 and 132 seats in a Bihar Assembly, PTI reported.
Bihar check dates proclamation an finish of Nitish Kumar’s reign: BJP
Bihar Assembly polls: NDA seat-sharing understanding expected by initial week of September
Infographic: How Bihar will opinion in five-phased Assembly choosing 2015
The BJP-led mix has been projected to win within a operation of 94 to 110 seats, according to a check conducted by C-Voter, according to a press recover released by a channel. On a doubt of who is a best arch minister, a whopping 53 percent respondents lucky obligatory Nitish Kumar, while usually 18 percent elite BJP personality Sushil Modi and usually 5 percent elite Lalu Prasad and Shatrughan Sinha.
Percentage wise, a Lalu-Nitish-Congress mix is projected to win 43 percent votes this time, while a BJP-led mix is projected to win 40 percent votes. 17 percent went to ‘others’.
C-Voter pronounced a projections were formed on a methodology formed on pointless stratified representation of 10,683 interviews covering all a Assembly constituencies during a final week of Aug and a initial week of September.
The domain of blunder is plus/minus 3 3 percent during a state turn and plus/minus 5 percent during a informal level, a check group said.
In a 2010 Assembly elections, JD(U) and BJP had won 206 seats by going together in an fondness while Lalu Prasad’s RJD-led fondness with Ram Vilas Paswan could win usually 25 seats.
However, during a 2014 Lok Sabha elections, a NDA comprising BJP, Paswan LJP and Upendra Kushwaha’s RLSP won in 174 Assembly segments. The Lalu-Nitish mix could win usually in 51 Assembly segments in a face of Modi wave.
(With inputs from PTI)